Friday, March 18. 2011Is the Fukushima disaster a good thing for Nuclear?Trackbacks
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I think that (i) you are right and (ii) Nuclear's going to be seen with even more suspicion now by most.
My favourite of today - shops in parts of the US being stripped of iodine pills, (which can protect against radiation) - the 3,000 mile exclusion zone is panicking!
Of course you are right Alan about nuclear being seen with even more suspicion and as you will have guessed I'm being deliberately contrarian. However I suspect those in government that are actually facing having to square the circle and implement a practical solution for our energy needs - e.g. those who have to actually make the energy accounts add up instead of only having to pretend they can make them add up - will realise there is little choice but to go with nuclear and in that context, with rational consideration, Fukushima will end-up helping the nuclear industry.
Agree Paul, I'm sure it is good for nuclear, as it injects a little common sense in to design of reactors.
However, I think what slightly irritates me is that in all the commentary about the alternative - renewable energy - there is such misinformation being propounded. The Monbiot article is a classic case in point: people are saying there is only a small impact on the environment. In global terms that may be true. But you can't ignore the fact that the reactors at Fukushima are now unusable and the materials therein will have to be disposed of *somehow*, eventually. Those noxious materials will continue to degrade over a period of up to thousands of years for high-level wastes. Granted, there appears to be low likelihood of impact in the environment, but the long term impact of dealing with nuclear waste is far more of an issue than any short term impact of radiation poisoning. And the more nuclear power there is, the more waste product we have to deal with. It's not that I'm necessarily against nuclear: I agree it is, generally speaking, relatively stable. And yes, if you're not stupid enough to build a reactor on a fault line, it could be feasible as a supporter of power production. But frankly, there is more efficiency in combination renewables than most commentators realise, and renewable energy isn't just limited to solar panels and wind farms. Tidal energy and geothermic energy certainly would get my vote as power sources for Japan, for instance. I think Fukushima has certainly - and rightly - raised suspicion about legitimacy of nuclear as an alternative to fossil fuels, and that policy makers will inevitably seek greater protections against natural disaster oriented dangers for plants. But I'd also hope that those policy makers look beyond hyperbole on renewables and think about the cost of production of renewable energy as not a limiting factor, but rather as a contributor to the protection of future generations of the planet.
All very good points Joanne and actually I agree completely. As I have said in a comment above I readily confess to deliberately adopting a contrarian view with this post; if just to stimulate a bit of counter thinking in the face of some highly disproportionate reporting in the media. I feel we are between a rock and a hard place when dealing with the nuclear question. I think an analogy on the nuclear waste issue that puts the view you have expressed into a personal context is it's like having a great meal now, but where the price of the meal is having to carry a small weight around for the rest of your life that you can never put down. If you put the weight down, someone gets sick. If you lose it, someone dies. In principle you can easily arrange that such a weight can always be carried, but who want's that kind of worry and constraint? - no-one if there is a viable alternative to starving.
@Jo - the problem with renewables today is that they are just not powerful enough to take the (power) loads society desires.
I'd be the first to advocate (and have done for 30 years) increased spending on renewable research, and also on energy use reduction - but as an engineer I am acutely aware of the still-yawning gap that is likely to be around for decades. There are essentally 2 options for the next 3-4 decades - (i) go nuclear or (ii) massively reduce energy consumption, and simultaneously rush renewable development - and it is now a trade off as to which is the least-worst politically acceptable. I suspect the outcome will be go nuclear, as few will buy lifestyle reduction politically, but we must push to ensure a parallel and accellerating move to renewables and energy saving.
Precisely, in energy terms there is currently there is no viable alternative to "starving"
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